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ABOUT US RoyalCoyle.com deals exclusively with handicapping basketball and football, both collegiate and professional based on line movement behavioral studies. The staff at RoyalCoyle.com has been working on the behavior line movement project for over 3 years. We have collected the last 10 years of line movement history for every professional and collegiate basketball and football game where Las Vegas declared a point spread. We have designed various databases with this data that can flexibly compare number movements and trends. From our many studies, we have formulated particular trends we can positively identify to predict the expected outcome of a game versus the spread.
Before RoyalCoyle.com became what it is today, our staff was working on the project offline. In Year 1, we began by comparing general statistics commonly available to most gamblers such as situational variables (recent performance, record versus opponent, etc.) and tangible variables (home field, weather, injuries, etc.). This simple approach did not lead to a clear ability to identify weaknesses in the sportsbook system.
In Year 2, our hypothesis dealt with viewing opening lines versus closing lines and tracking every move of that number in between. We followed the sides the public seemed to favor and attempted to match the intention of the line movement. This seemed to work from time to time, but we could not fully understand the motivation of a line move simply on public favor. Our systems would occasionally break down and we were relying too much on data (public favor) we did not have much faith in its accuracy.
The RoyalCoyle project then hit a crossroads. We felt we had come a long way with our latest theories and felt fairly confident with our handicapping ability. However, the occasional breakdown of our handicapping model forced us to ask the question if we really were on to something or not. The RoyalCoyle project decided to go back to the basics, ignoring public favor to a degree and focusing mostly on line movement. We used our 10 years of information stored in our databases to form patterns of line movement. We were then able to recognize similarities in how certain lines moved and were beginning to be able to correctly identify outcomes of games versus the spread by classifying the line movement. Our newly applied theories were even more accurate than our old theories, and we were beginning to see how there was an intertwining of a lot of our hypotheses over the 3 years of data tracking. For instance, some hypotheses from our Year 2 study were put off because we could not prove them. But after our latest discoveries, some of those hypotheses have made their way back into our handicapping strategies because they add support to our new handicapping filters.
The next generation of RoyalCoyle.com has already begun. We recently have compiled a database program that allows users to predict games based solely on line movement data. This program’s initial intention was for leisure and practice for our staff. However, after much use we began to realize that the programs players were actually learning line movement behavior almost instinctively. This “game” had begun to evolve its players by inherently teaching to look solely at numbers and ignore every other aspect. The evolution of this game has allowed RoyalCoyle.com to take off, giving us the most confidence in our handicapping ability. We would ultimately like to release this teaching program, as we feel it is as much of a service to the gambling community. However, its intended use was never for retail so the software design is still under construction. We are aiming to release this program by next season (2010).
In the meantime, we hope to educate the gambling community by giving are ALWAYSFREEtop picks based on our line movement behavior studies. Our goal is to continue to expand our handicapping strategies to ensure the best results for our customers and visitors.
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